Makadollars Selections

Race 1, MOE

1st Tip: 7. Sherpa 3^rd 1.10

2nd Tip: 3. Reillys Run

3rd Tip: 1. Just Call Me Neil

Best Each Way Tip: 3. Reillys Run

Long Shot tip: 5. With Danger won 22.30 and 4.40

Race 2, MOE

1st Tip: 3. I’m Taken 3^rd 1.80

2nd Tip: 11. Startreat

3rd Tip: 13. Knapton

Best Each Way Tip: 11. Startreat

Long Shot tip: 14. Regal Cugat LS

Race 3, MOE

1st Tip: 4. Jeune He Is 3^rd 1.30

2nd Tip: 6. Swing Boy

3rd Tip: 5. Pergola (NZ) won 4.50 and 1.70

Best Each Way Tip: 6. Swing Boy

Race 4, MOE

1st Tip: 1. Good Red 2^nd 1.40 QUI 3.50 EXA 6.70

2nd Tip: 4. High Costalana won 3.10 and 1.70 RD 25.60(awesome divvy!)

3rd Tip: 5. Juan Carlos

Best Each Way Tip: 1. Good Red 2^nd 1.40

Race 5, MOE

1st Tip: 1. Happy Glen won 2.80 and 1.90 RD 7.30

2nd Tip: 2. Set Shot

3rd Tip: 3. Annie’s Courage 4th

Best Each Way Tip: 2. Set Shot

Race 6, MOE

1st Tip: 2. Tarrayoukyan

2nd Tip: 6. Bowlabouncer

3rd Tip: 10. Teraset

Best Each Way Tip: 6. Bowlabouncer

Long Shot tip: 9. Musicblitz

Race 7, MOE

1st Tip: 7. Automatic Slim (NZ)

2nd Tip: 3. Luvizpet

3rd Tip: 5. Moving On

Best Each Way Tip: 3. Luvizpet

Long Shot tip: 4. Our Preston

Race 8, MOE

1st Tip: 15. Testatrix

2nd Tip: 3. Our Henry

3rd Tip: 9. Ghost Queen

Best Each Way Tip: 3. Our Henry

Long Shot tip: 7. Zorro’s Shield

Race 1, WARWICK FARM

1st Tip: 1. Superreact 2^nd 2.80 QUI 5.90 EXA 7.00

2nd Tip: 3. I’ve Got Talent won 2.10 and 1.40

3rd Tip: 6. Jove

Best Each Way Tip: 3. I’ve Got Talent won 2.10 and 1.40

Race 2, WARWICK FARM

1st Tip: 1. Fivewest

2nd Tip: 4. Puccini 2^nd 1.40

3rd Tip: 7. Togha 3^rd 1.60

Best Each Way Tip: 4. Puccini 2^nd 1.40

Race 3, WARWICK FARM

1st Tip: 4. Camouflaged 3^rd NTD

2nd Tip: 2. Contortion won 1.50 and 1.04

3rd Tip: 6. Sand Model

Best Each Way Tip: 2. Contortion won 1.50 and 1.04

Race 4, WARWICK FARM

1st Tip: 1. Fusakeo won 3.30 and 1.40 RD 5.40

2nd Tip: 2. International Man 3rd 2.90

3rd Tip: 3. Pay And Play

Best Each Way Tip: 2. International Man 3rd 2.90

Long Shot tip: 6. Dancing Time

Race 5, WARWICK FARM

1st Tip: 3. Jiale 2^nd 2.50

2nd Tip: 2. Chatterchic

3rd Tip: 6. Miss Alert 4th

Best Each Way Tip: 3. Jiale 2^nd 2.50

Race 6, WARWICK FARM

1st Tip: 3. Sharp Tip (NZ)

2nd Tip: 11. Chrysopelia

3rd Tip: 9. Oui Bubbly

Best Each Way Tip: 11. Chrysopelia

Long Shot tip: 10. Broadway Queen

Race 7, WARWICK FARM

1st Tip: 4. Slick Sniper

2nd Tip: 3. Rain Game

3rd Tip: 1. Gypsy Gaze

Best Each Way Tip: 3. Rain Game

Race 1, TOWNSVILLE

1st Tip: 2. Line By Line 2^nd 1.10 QUI 4.20 EXA 11.00

2nd Tip: 1. Blazing Arrow 4th

3rd Tip: 3. Zero To Hero won 8.10 and 2.70

Best Each Way Tip: 1. Blazing Arrow 4th

Race 2, TOWNSVILLE

1st Tip: 3. Estrata

2nd Tip: 1. Different Drummer 2^nd 1.60 QUI 6.00 EXA 11.90

3rd Tip: 4. Smartaat (NZ) won 3.30 and 1.40 RD 34.10

Best Each Way Tip: 1. Different Drummer 2^nd 1.60

Long Shot tip: 2. Super Choi 3^rd 3.20 TRI 104.20

Race 3, TOWNSVILLE

1st Tip: 3. Hennessy Warning

2nd Tip: 4. Little Admiral 4th

3rd Tip: 9. Gracerin

Best Each Way Tip: 3. Hennessy Warning

Long Shot tip: 11. Petuniahiway

Race 4, TOWNSVILLE

1st Tip: 1. The Cat’s Back (NZ) 3^rd 1.40

2nd Tip: 4. Symphony Hall 2^nd 1.40

3rd Tip: 3. Final Roar

Best Each Way Tip: 4. Symphony Hall 2^nd 1.40

Long Shot tip: 2. Vonmarkndunc

Race 5, TOWNSVILLE

1st Tip: 5. Elvis Aaron

2nd Tip: 4. Peakhurst won 3.20 and 1.60

3rd Tip: 9. On The Roster 2^nd 1.80 QUI 6.90 EXA 14.20

Best Each Way Tip: 5. Elvis Aaron

Long Shot tip: 3. On A Prayer 3^rd 2.60 TRI 96.30

Race 6, TOWNSVILLE

1st Tip: 1. Sea Zulu 4th

2nd Tip: 2. Captain Wheland won 2.20 and 1.40 RD 13.20

3rd Tip: 5. Highonrum

Best Each Way Tip: 2. Captain Wheland won 2.20 and 1.40

Race 7, TOWNSVILLE

1st Tip: 2. Amazing Lover

2nd Tip: 5. Endangered

3rd Tip: 3. Dragonisi

Best Each Way Tip: 5. Endangered

Race 8, TOWNSVILLE

1st Tip: 1. Diamond Pursuit

2nd Tip: 4. Tommy Boy

3rd Tip: 10. Diagram (NZ)

Best Each Way Tip: 1. Diamond Pursuit

Long Shot tip: 3. Time By Time

Tags: Add new tag, Moe, Townsville, Warwick Farm// Category Selections // Add Comment »

DUBBO

7. She Willdo 2^nd 1.60 QUI 7.10 EXA 13.30

1. Al Mahboob won 2.90 and 1.60

5. Crafty Poet

12. Miss Amali wipeout

6. Without A Paddle

3. Call A Friend

1. Juerga 3^rd 1.60

2. Phantom Thief won 2.40 and 1.10

8. Trippy

4. Murray’s Sun won 2.10 and 1.60 RD 7.80

3. Hot Bake Clarrie

2. Boomerang 2^nd 1.40 QUI 3.50 EXA 5.90

GEELONG

2. Will’s Power 2^nd 1.20 QUI 10.50 EXA 25.90

5. Great Pleasure

3. Tolieon 3^rd 1.80 TRI 80.90

1. Stately Dash won 12.60 and 3.00

2. New Years Eve 4th

8. Reconcentrate won 2.90 and 1.20 RD 38.40

1. Spectacula

7. Tre Scalini

2. Validator won 5.30 and 1.70 RD 21.00

4. Easy Cash

1. The Torp L/SCR SUB 6 won 2.70 and 1.30 RD 11.80 quaddie won $411.40

2. Point Of Impact $1911

9. Lilmizo $987 2^nd 1.50 QUI 3.50 EXA 6.80

10. Licahand $3514

NEWCASTLE

9. Pride’n'prejudice Won 2.60 and 1.30

8. On The Ready

14. Valley Saint

2. Moonlight Music 2^nd 1.20 QUI 11.20 EXA 41.10

3. The Bargain

7. Monde

9. Subtle Cove won 13.10 and 3.20 RD 37.90

2. Regal Academy

7. Miss Fanatik

8. Mysecretdancer 4^th (spewing, will pay well)

1. Mr Wadam

3. Armand

6. Tocapitalize won 21.30 and 5.10 quaddy paid over 26 grand

SUNSHINE COAST

4. Siege 2^nd 1.20 QUI 5.00 EXA 12.40

5. Craiglea Symphony won 3.70 and 1.60

2. Continual

3. She’s A Model

2. Cole Trickle won 9.60 and 3.10 RD 32.30

7. Ice Delight 4th

6. Chaufuhr

4. Onalar 3^rd 1.20

2. Messiaen won 4.30 and 1.70 RD 32.50

9. Likazyrtec

10. Riseupsinging

2. The Fifer $881 2^nd 1.90

1. Hurricaneprince $533 3^rd 1.50

4. A Scarletpimpernel $525

5. Grey Encounter $908 4th

Tags: Results, Sandown, VIC// Category Results, Selections // Add Comment »

1 SIMPLICITY
Let me start with idea No. 1 and its SIMPLICITY.  I  recall a
conversation with my colleague The Optimist some  time ago
and what he said struck me as being so sensible.
“Horses do what they have done before, exactly,” he said. And
it’s true. A simple approach, then, is to ask whether a horse has
done before what you are now asking it to do. There are worse
ways to go about your betting. It’s methodical.
The logic is simple, isn’t it? Back the horse to do what it has
shown it can do. Used in conjunction with a minimum standard
of consistency, this approach can prove very useful.
What is a minimum standard of consistency? I would suggest
a minimum of 20 per cent for the win and 40 per cent for the
place, though some of you might like the bar to be lifted higher
(say 25 per cent and 50 per cent).

2 THE STATISTICAL EDGE
This means getting an advantage.  If your horse starts at 4/1
and you secured 5/1, then you have an edge on the price. Over
the course of a year, should you continue to take advantage of
such an edge, you are more than likely to end up winning.
There are various ways of getting an edge. One is to look for
a sure thing at a short price and back it in an all-up with your
selection BUT back the hotpot to PLACE and your selection to
WIN.Let’s say you feel that Lonhro is a good thing. He pays $1.20
the place. You put $10 on and get back $12. This goes on your
selection at, say 5/1. If he wins, you get back $72 for an all-round
profit of $60. That means you got 6.2 to 1 for the 5/1 chance, an
increase or edge of around 24 per cent.

3 ANOTHER EDGE
If you have good information about a horse, you have an edge
over all those punters not in possession of such information.
If you really do know something, whether from a tip from an
inside source, or just some key statistical detail, keep it
to yourself.

4 DON’T BET ODDS-ON
Hey, simple advice but how many punters ignore it at their
peril? Your basic philosophy should once again be SIMPLICITY.
That is, if you can’t win more than you can lose, then don’t
bet.If your minimum loss can be 1 unit, then your minimum win
must also be 1 unit. Even-money, that is. Just make that rule,
never bet odds-on, regardless of the circumstances.
This doesn’t apply to place betting, of course, because with
that you have three chances to collect.

5 BE HONEST

Sometimes we get so carried away by a horse that we can’t see the
wood for the trees. We continue to blindly back a losing horse in
the HOPE it will win. Hope is not enough.
Logic says you must EXPECT a bet to win, not just hope it will.
So, always be honest with yourself when you are assessing a horse’s form.
Don’t cut corners.  Assess each horse fairly and rationally.
Good old commonsense comes into play every time.  If you
have a nagging doubt, and you know you are casting for fish in
a stagnant pool, then opt out.There will always be another day.
Another horse, a better horse.

6 POST-MORTEMS

If you don’t discover why a horse lost, or why YOU lost, you
have little hope of ever learning anything.
It goes without saying that we should re-analyse a horse that
has failed for us. We look not just at its performance on the day
but where we went wrong in selecting it.
If you choose and then bet a horse, fancying it very strongly,
and it runs poorly, then something is wrong. It could be the
horse simply failed, maybe it had bad luck.
But it beholds you to look again at why you selected it,
especially if it simply ran badly after getting every chance. Why
were you so wrong? What deceived you in the form? Did you
put the emphasis on all the wrong aspects?
And, most importantly, what made you miss the winner?

7 OVERCONFIDENCE

Dizziness due to success. A famous chess player once warned
about this, and it’s something I feel punters should be aware
of when the winners come rolling in, as they do from time to
time. The lesson is to be extra-vigilant when you think you are
getting well ahead of  the game.  I know a  lot of punters who
have  blown  big  banks,  sometimes when  they  changed  their
methods in the middle of a winning streak!
Without being overcautious, don’t let enthusiasm get the
better of you and warp your judgment.